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05

Probability II: Advanced

Continuous distributions, expectation techniques, stochastic processes, martingales, and decision theory.

The first two lessons are free to read. Membership unlocks the full course and tracks your progress.

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01Continuous Distributions

The Uniform Distribution and Geometric ProbabilityFreeThe Normal DistributionFree
The Exponential Distribution and MemorylessnessMembers
The Gamma and Beta DistributionsMembers
The Multivariate Normal Distribution and Covariance MatricesMembers
The Central Limit TheoremMembers

02Expectation Techniques

Linearity of ExpectationMembers
Indicator VariablesMembers
Symmetry ArgumentsMembers
Conditional Expectation and the Tower PropertyMembers
The Law of the Unconscious StatisticianMembers

03Moments and Inequalities

Moment Generating FunctionsMembers
Probability Inequalities: Markov, Chebyshev, and ChernoffMembers

04Order Statistics

Distributions of Maxima and MinimaMembers
Expected Values of ExtremesMembers

05Stochastic Processes

First-Step AnalysisMembers
Expected Waiting Times for PatternsMembers
Introduction to Markov ChainsMembers
The Poisson ProcessMembers
The Coupon Collector ProblemMembers
Monte Carlo SimulationMembers

06Martingales and Ruin

Fair Games and MartingalesMembers
Gambler's RuinMembers
Optional StoppingMembers

07Decision Theory

Sequential Decision ProblemsMembers
Optimal StoppingMembers
Risk Preferences and UtilityMembers
The Kelly CriterionMembers